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US Value-Added Tax (VAT) = A National Sales Tax? Buyer Beware!

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April 22, 2010 - Obama aides neither back nor bury value-added tax   Not dead yet.
The following was written in mid 2009, predicting that the VAT idea would surface again after spending and debt got so out of control that they would be looking for new ways to tax everybody.
There is talk in Congress again about creating a national sales tax or value-added tax (VAT), and perhaps trying to sell it by offering some other tax breaks at first.  The initial reports about this idea are characterizing it as a "national sales tax", presumably because most Americans have become accustomed to state and local sales taxes already.

That may make the idea seem less frightening - but be very afraid of it.  There are differences between a VAT scheme and a retail sales tax system, but the basic idea seems to be to seek a new way to raise lots of tax revenue quickly without people fully realizing it.  If the tax is built into all prices (like a VAT scheme), rather than visibly tacked on at the time of a sale, then it might appear to be less onerous because the new tax burden would be spread widely over many transactions.

The Democrats may be reluctant to openly advocate such new tax ideas until they find some formula to rationalize it which seems to make it politically viable here, rather than political doom.  This really needs to stir up such a political firestorm of opposition that the idea will be dead on arrival in Congress.

This could be a huge tax burden on everyone, raising the cost of almost everything we buy, while hiding the cost in the prices and making businesses responsible for the collection of it, somewhat like a sales tax system (but different - because the consumer doesn't see the added tax cost, somewhat like the way that excise and other taxes are buried in the prices of gasoline, utilities, cigarettes, etc. 

That maintains the fiction that income taxes are not being raised while dramatically increasing the actual tax burden on everyone.  Since many states and local areas rely heavily on sales tax revenues, this also creates potential double taxation.  There are also "tax harmonization" risks which, in the name of tax "farness" nationally, could be used to redistribute wealth through federal political choices and undermine state and local authority, competition, and voter control over spending decisions.  This is not an abstract risk.  It is already established in European social economic development practices.

There have been debates about this tax idea in the past, as in 2005 when the Bush administration briefly considered it, but the current wave of spending makes it a far more serious threat now, even if it might be introduced at lower tax rates at first with various tax breaks to make it seem less onerous.  Instead of being considered like a "fair tax" or "flat tax" alternative to the federal income tax, the point of the present discussion is to make it an additional tax burden to help pay for outrageous new spending.

In summary, this could become a massive new tax burden on all Americans.  As with local sales taxes, the initial rate is likely to steadily creep upwards over time, and rarely be cut back again.
Background about the idea of a US Value-Added Tax (VAT) or "national sales tax"
May 28. 2009 - FreedomWorks - National Sales Tax Chatter Draws Fierce Opposition
May 27, 2009 - The Washington Post - Once Considered Unthinkable, U.S. Sales Tax Gets Fresh Look  Think of this article as a "trial balloon" by the Obama administration, and note the close ties to their healthcare agenda and Rahm Emanuel.  They're trying to find ways to raise LOTS of tax money.  Forget about the myth that nobody under a certain income will pay more taxes.  VAT would dramatically raise taxes on almost everything which anyone buys, regardless of income level.

Americans for Prosperity: Be Very Afraid of the Obama Administration's VAT Trial Balloon (May 27, 2009) - see also Fox Forum on the same topic

FreedomWorks: Are we about to get a national sales tax? (May 27, 2009) - note the chart about how the tax burdens and government spending have grown in Europe as they implemented VAT.

A VAT system is not the same as what the Americans for Fair Taxation propose (Fair Tax)

Heritage Foundation - Beware the Value-Added Tax (May 16, 2005)

Daniel J Mitchell on National Review Online - Guest Comment - What's VAT?  (March 1, 2005)

The idea of a VAT or national retail sales tax has been floated at various times in the past, as in this March 2005 testimony about potential tax law changes (including VAT criticism) and this 2002 objection by the National Taxpayers Union or prior debates which are on their website and others.

How does a VAT tax scheme work in practice?
As a starting point for research, try our custom search tools for Taxes and Incentives , International Business Law , or Strategy Consultants on our www.ShortListNews.com website to see how international tax, legal, and management consulting professionals describe VAT systems and tax compliance issues.  Their business clients already face complex VAT tax burdens and regulations in many other countries where they operate.  Just use the above links and then look up VAT to find many presentations on the topic from a business perspective.
As another perspective, try our Search: Europe tool at the same website and look up VAT.

This unique tool searches across the national economic development websites of many European countries so that you can see how they try to explain their VAT policies to potential business investors in their countries.  This is how they try to sell their VAT tax policies to foreign investors from a government perspective.  (Domestic business investors have no choice in the matter, unless they choose to invest abroad).

Note that the typical argument is that VAT is like a sales tax - with the cost eventually passed on to the end user of the product or service through a fairly complex system of VAT "inputs and outputs".  Unlike a sales tax, however, the VAT cost is buried in the price charged to the end-user, rather than identified separately, even though one can work it backwards.

Keep in mind that there are also very significant cash flow considerations, because the VAT has to be calculated and paid at each step along the way as products or services are produced, rather than just after the final sale is concluded.  In that context, unsold product inventory becomes significantly more expensive, because one has to also finance the unrecovered VAT costs until the inventory is sold.  The point is simply that this becomes a very complex regulatory compliance process for all companies, so anybody who has dreams of getting rid of the IRS and tax advisors had better think again.

Keep in mind that there was pressure for VAT "harmonization" across Europe to avoid having more favorable rates in some countries than in others after the European Union was developed.  This would be analogous to having our federal government impose a standard sales tax for all state and local areas in the name of "fairness", so that there would be no tax advantages to favor one place over any other.

Of course, that defeats the intent of the Tenth Amendment in the US Constitution, which served to preserve robust competition among the states and local areas so that their governments would be more directly accountable to voters and adapt to their local resource constraints, competitive circumstances, and interests or special needs.  If the federal government "levels the playing field" across the entire country, the net effect is to eliminate any competition which might help to restrain tax increases.

One scenario would make state and local areas rely on politically motivated federal apportionment of tax revenues, such as to favor particular regions.  This has been done in Europe to favor depressed areas at the expense of successful ones as a subtle transfer of wealth by social industrial policies.

It is therefore not surprising that VAT, like sales taxes, tends to inexorably creep upwards or to be complemented by other types of obscure taxes so that public political resistance is thwarted.

Regardless of what the initial VAT rate might be, one can readily imagine that politicians would think that the US rate need only be constrained by the highest VAT rates in other developed countries so that we would not be at an obvious competitive disadvantage in that regard.  That leaves a lot of room for federal spending to grow unchecked, with minimal state or local pressure to cut such spending.  Instead, the federal VAT revenue would become the honey pot for which all the states and local areas would compete.  If you think pork spending is out of control now, imagine this scenario.

The net result could be enormous federal power and control over all state and local spending decisions, which is almost the exact opposite of the intention of our Constitution to preserve state and local authority and individual responsibility, rather than subservience to a powerful central government and political party rule.  This is not just an abstract tax policy debate.  This is the road to serfdom.

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Last modified: 04/22/10